Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity: prediction and stats
USL League OneQuarter-finalsKick-off on October 30, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Breese Stevens Field
The Footlab AI model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Spokane Velocity. The most likely score is 1-1. If Forward Madison wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,674 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Forward Madison (1,821) and Spokane Velocity (1,833).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Forward Madison
4-3-3- 9Ryan Carmichael
- 7J. Bolma
- 21B. Karamoko
- 12R. Torres
- 57B. Augee
- 30E. Machacen
- 8M. Segbers
- 20K. Carmichael
- 6G. Kanyane
- 23E. Munjoma
- 1John Harms
Spokane Velocity
4-3-3- 9N. Brett
- 17M. Alexandre
- 16A. Peláez
- 34A. Elmasnaouy
- 11Shavon Owner John-Brown
- 8N. Vinyals
- 3N. Spielman
- 33M. Mensah
- 12C. Miller
- 13L. Opara
- 1S. Lewis
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 01:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forward Madison have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Spokane Velocity have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Union Omaha(home) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(home) | 2-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Westchester SC(away) | 2-3 | USL League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fort Wayne(away) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(home) | 0-1 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Naples(away) | 0-1 | USL League One |
| Oct 21, 2026 | NY Cosmos(away) | 3-3 | USL League One |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Chattanooga Red Wolves(home) | 1-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(away) | 3-4 | USL League One |
| Oct 11, 2026 | One Knoxville(away) | 2-0 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Forward Madison wins, 1 draw, 3 Spokane Velocity wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Forward Madison 0-1 Spokane Velocity | USL League One |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Spokane Velocity 0-1 Forward Madison | USL League One |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Forward Madison 0-1 Spokane Velocity | USL League One |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Spokane Velocity 2-1 Forward Madison | USL League One |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Forward Madison 0-0 Spokane Velocity | USL League One |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Forward Madison 2-0 Spokane Velocity | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forward Madison score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spokane Velocity score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward Madison | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Spokane Velocity | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forward Madison sit 4th in USL League One (56 points from 32 matches) and Spokane Velocity sit 5th (54 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Forward Madison | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 30 | 56 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 54 |
A question about Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?
- The Footlab AI model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Spokane Velocity.
- Where and when is Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity played?
- Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity is played on October 30, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Breese Stevens Field, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.