Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise: result 3-1 and analysis
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on August 15, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
Full time
What was the result of Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise?
Charlotte Independence won 3-1 on August 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 2′S. MarouCharlotte Independence
- 8′Jon BakeroCharlotte Independence
- 14′C. JaimeCharlotte Independence
- 83′R. BurlewSarasota Paradise
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte Independence have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Sarasota Paradise have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hartford Athletic(home) | 2-4 | USL League One Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(home) | 1-0 | USL League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | One Knoxville(home) | 3-1 | USL League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Richmond Kickers(home) | 3-1 | USL League One |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 0-3 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | One Knoxville(away) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Miami FC(home) | 0-5 | USL League One Cup |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(away) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Richmond Kickers(away) | 0-0 | USL League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Charlotte Independence score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sarasota Paradise score 1.0 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Independence | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Sarasota Paradise | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlotte Independence sit 2nd in USL League One (43 points from 21 matches) and Sarasota Paradise sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 47 | 29 | 43 |
| 14 | Sarasota Paradise | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 36 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves