Chatham Town vs Carlisle: result 1-0 and analysis
FA TrophyRound of 32Kick-off on January 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bauvill Stadium, Chatham, Kent
Full time
What was the result of Chatham Town vs Carlisle?
Chatham Town won 1-0 on January 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 25′M. MacarthurChatham Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chatham Town have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Carlisle have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Dartford(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Cheshunt(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Potters Bar Town(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Morecambe(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Gateshead(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Boreham Wood(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Harborough Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Chatham Town vs Carlisle?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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