Chatham Town vs Dartford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bauvill Stadium, Chatham, Kent
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Dartford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chatham Town vs Dartford?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Chatham Town (1,903) and Dartford (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chatham Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Dartford have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Chatham Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Dartford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Dartford 3-2 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Chatham Town 1-2 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Chatham Town 0-2 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Dartford 3-1 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Dartford vs Chatham Town on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chatham Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Dartford sit 5th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chatham Town vs Dartford?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Dartford.
- Where and when is Chatham Town vs Dartford played?
- Chatham Town vs Dartford is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bauvill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsLewes
- Jan 2, 2027St Albans CityvsCheshunt
- Jan 2, 2027AveleyvsStanway Rovers
- Jan 2, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsWhitehawk
- Jan 2, 2027WhyteleafevsRamsgate
- Jan 2, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsBrentwood Town
- Jan 2, 2027Carshalton AthleticvsThree Bridges
- Jan 2, 2027Enfield TownvsWingate & Finchley