Dartford vs Chatham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Princes Park, Dartford, Kent
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Dartford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dartford vs Chatham Town?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Dartford (1,879) and Chatham Town (1,909).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dartford have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Chatham Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Dartford win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Chatham Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Dartford 3-2 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Chatham Town 1-2 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Chatham Town 0-2 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Dartford 3-1 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Dartford vs Chatham Town on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dartford sit 5th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Chatham Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dartford vs Chatham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Dartford.
- Where and when is Dartford vs Chatham Town played?
- Dartford vs Chatham Town is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Princes Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026LeatherheadvsDulwich Hamlet
- Aug 31, 2026WhitehawkvsBurgess Hill Town
- Aug 31, 2026Brentwood TownvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Aug 31, 2026RamsgatevsWhyteleafe
- Aug 31, 2026Three BridgesvsCarshalton Athletic
- Aug 31, 2026CheshuntvsSt Albans City
- Aug 31, 2026Cray WanderersvsWelling United
- Aug 31, 2026LewesvsEastbourne Borough