Chatham Town vs Lewes: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bauvill Stadium, Chatham, Kent
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Lewes. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chatham Town vs Lewes?
Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chatham Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Lewes have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chatham Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lewes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town 2-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Lewes 0-2 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Chatham Town 1-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Lewes 2-0 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Lewes 0-3 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Chatham Town 3-0 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Chatham Town vs Lewes on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chatham Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Lewes sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chatham Town vs Lewes?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Chatham Town vs Lewes played?
- Chatham Town vs Lewes is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bauvill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsCheshunt
- Sep 12, 2026St Albans CityvsThree Bridges
- Sep 12, 2026AveleyvsLeatherhead
- Sep 12, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsRamsgate
- Sep 12, 2026WhyteleafevsStanway Rovers
- Sep 12, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsWhitehawk
- Sep 12, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsDartford
- Sep 12, 2026Enfield TownvsCray Wanderers