Match

Chatham Town vs Lewes: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bauvill Stadium, Chatham, Kent

Chatham TownLewes

The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Lewes. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chatham Town vs Lewes?

Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,686).

Chatham Town win75 %
Draw16 %
Lewes win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chatham Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Lewes have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chatham Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Whitehawk(away)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Three Bridges(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026St Albans City(away)1-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Lewes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Whyteleafe(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026St Albans City(away)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Whitehawk(away)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Enfield Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Chatham Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chatham Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lewes win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chatham Town 2-1 LewesNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 22, 2025Lewes 0-2 Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 2, 2024Chatham Town 1-1 LewesNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2024Lewes 2-0 Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian
Feb 17, 2024Lewes 0-3 Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian
Sep 23, 2023Chatham Town 3-0 LewesNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Chatham Town vs Lewes on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chatham Town2.11.267/1512/15
Lewes1.11.738/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chatham Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Lewes sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Chatham Town43011059
9Lewes4211557

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chatham Town vs Lewes?
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Lewes.
Where and when is Chatham Town vs Lewes played?
Chatham Town vs Lewes is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bauvill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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