Cray Wanderers vs Chatham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Park, London
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Cray Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Chatham Town?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Cray Wanderers (1,821) and Chatham Town (1,903).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cray Wanderers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chatham Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cray Wanderers win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Chatham Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Cray Wanderers 1-1 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Chatham Town 3-3 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Chatham Town 1-4 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Cray Wanderers 1-4 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Cray Wanderers 2-2 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Chatham Town 1-5 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Cray Wanderers vs Chatham Town on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cray Wanderers sit 15th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Chatham Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cray Wanderers vs Chatham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Cray Wanderers.
- Where and when is Cray Wanderers vs Chatham Town played?
- Cray Wanderers vs Chatham Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsWhyteleafe
- Dec 5, 2026St Albans CityvsDulwich Hamlet
- Dec 5, 2026WhitehawkvsLeatherhead
- Dec 5, 2026AveleyvsWelling United
- Dec 5, 2026RamsgatevsThree Bridges
- Dec 5, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsBurgess Hill Town
- Dec 5, 2026Enfield TownvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Dec 5, 2026LewesvsBrentwood Town