Match

Whitehawk vs Welling United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Enclosed Ground, Brighton, East Sussex

WhitehawkWelling United

The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Whitehawk vs Welling United?

Welling United starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,662).

Whitehawk win24 %
Draw24 %
Welling United win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitehawk have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Whitehawk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chatham Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Aveley(away)2-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Lewes(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Welling United(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Potters Bar Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Welling United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dartford(away)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Stanway Rovers(home)4-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Leatherhead(away)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whitehawk(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Whitehawk win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Welling United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Welling United 2-0 WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian
Mar 21, 2026Welling United 2-1 WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian
Dec 6, 2025Whitehawk 1-2 Welling UnitedNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Welling United vs Whitehawk on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Whitehawk0.92.228/159/15
Welling United2.01.358/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Whitehawk sit 19th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Welling United43011049
19Whitehawk4013281

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Whitehawk vs Welling United?
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Whitehawk.
Where and when is Whitehawk vs Welling United played?
Whitehawk vs Welling United is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Enclosed Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Whitehawk and Welling United

Ready to know everything about football?