Whitehawk vs Welling United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Enclosed Ground, Brighton, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitehawk vs Welling United?
Welling United starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,662).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitehawk have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Potters Bar Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Whitehawk win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Welling United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Welling United 2-0 Whitehawk | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Welling United 2-1 Whitehawk | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Whitehawk 1-2 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Welling United vs Whitehawk on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitehawk | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitehawk sit 19th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitehawk vs Welling United?
- The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Whitehawk.
- Where and when is Whitehawk vs Welling United played?
- Whitehawk vs Welling United is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Enclosed Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026DartfordvsThree Bridges
- Oct 24, 2026LeatherheadvsRamsgate
- Oct 24, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsAveley
- Oct 24, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsBrentwood Town
- Oct 24, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsDulwich Hamlet
- Oct 24, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsWhyteleafe
- Oct 24, 2026Cray WanderersvsWingate & Finchley
- Oct 24, 2026Enfield TownvsLewes