Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, Tennessee
The Footlab model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Forward Madison. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Chattanooga Red Wolves (1,694) and Forward Madison (1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chattanooga Red Wolves have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Forward Madison have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 3-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sarasota Paradise(away) | 2-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fort Wayne(away) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union Omaha(home) | 1-3 | USL League One |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Forward Madison(away) | 2-5 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(away) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Boise(away) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Westchester SC(home) | 2-0 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Forward Madison win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Forward Madison 5-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves | USL League One |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Forward Madison 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves | USL League One |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 Forward Madison | USL League One |
| May 31, 2025 | Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 Forward Madison | USL League One Cup |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Forward Madison 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves | USL League One |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-3 Forward Madison | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves on Jul 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chattanooga Red Wolves score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Forward Madison score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Forward Madison | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th in USL League One (32 points from 20 matches) and Forward Madison sit 3rd (40 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Forward Madison | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 40 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison?
- The Footlab model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Forward Madison.
- Where and when is Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison played?
- Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison is played on September 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at CHI Memorial Stadium, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves