Chaves vs Sporting CP B: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, Chaves
The Footlab model makes Chaves the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chaves vs Sporting CP B?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Chaves (1,886) and Sporting CP B (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chaves have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Sporting CP B have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AVS(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sporting CP B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Academica(home) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Chaves win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sporting CP B win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sporting CP B 1-0 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Sporting CP B 0-1 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Chaves 0-0 Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sporting CP B vs Chaves on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chaves score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP B score 0.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaves | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Sporting CP B | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chaves sit 18th in Segunda Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Sporting CP B sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 18 | Chaves | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chaves vs Sporting CP B?
- The Footlab model makes Chaves the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Sporting CP B.
- Where and when is Chaves vs Sporting CP B played?
- Chaves vs Sporting CP B is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.