Chaves vs Sporting CP B: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, Chaves
The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chaves wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chaves vs Sporting CP B?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Chaves (1,975) and Sporting CP B (2,015).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chaves vs Sporting CP B
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chaves
4-3-3- 10André Rodrigues
- 30Costinha
- 17Roberto
- 19Gilberto García
- 42Aílson Tavares
- 16D. Yearwood
- 23Léo Alabá
- 34Ricardo Alves
- 33Tiago Simões
- 7R. Esajas
- 1João Valido
Sporting CP B
4-2-3-1- 78Mauro Couto
- 40M. Tanlongo
- 96Samuel Justo
- 76Rodrigo Rodrigues
- 73Eduardo Felicíssimo
- 87Paulo Cardoso
- 95Lucas Taibo
- 50Rodrigo Dias
- 68Daniel Costa
- 85Rafael Mota
- 99Francisco Silva
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chaves have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sporting CP B have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Farense(away) | 0-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guarda(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(away) | 4-2 | Premier League International Cup |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Farense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Chaves win, 1 draw, 1 Sporting CP B win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sporting CP B 1-0 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Sporting CP B 0-1 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Chaves 0-0 Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sporting CP B vs Chaves on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chaves score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP B score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaves | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sporting CP B | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chaves sit 17th in Segunda Liga (5 points from 7 matches) and Sporting CP B sit 2nd (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Chaves vs Sporting CP B?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chaves vs Sporting CP B?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Sporting CP B.
- Where and when is Chaves vs Sporting CP B played?
- Chaves vs Sporting CP B is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.