Sporting CP B vs Penafiel: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, Alcochete
The Footlab AI model makes Penafiel the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Penafiel wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Penafiel?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Sporting CP B (2,001) and Penafiel (1,997).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting CP B vs Penafiel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting CP B
4-2-3-1- 78Mauro Couto
- 40M. Tanlongo
- 96Samuel Justo
- 76Rodrigo Rodrigues
- 73Eduardo Felicíssimo
- 87Paulo Cardoso
- 95Lucas Taibo
- 50Rodrigo Dias
- 68Daniel Costa
- 85Rafael Mota
- 99Francisco Silva
Penafiel
3-4-3- 10Davo
- 17João Pinto
- 9Max Svensson
- 21Pedro Sá
- 8Àlex Carbonell
- 50Francisco Varela
- 85Carlinhos Augusto
- 5Jaime Sánchez
- 27Gonçalo Negrão
- 6Adrián Pica
- 1Miguel Oliveira
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP B have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Penafiel have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(away) | 4-2 | Premier League International Cup |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Farense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | AVS(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Academica(home) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sporting CP B wins, 1 draw, 5 Penafiel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penafiel 2-0 Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Sporting CP B 1-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Penafiel 1-1 Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 14, 2018 | Sporting CP B 3-4 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Penafiel 4-1 Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 19, 2017 | Penafiel 2-1 Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Penafiel vs Sporting CP B on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP B score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP B | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP B sit 2nd in Segunda Liga (15 points from 7 matches) and Penafiel sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
A question about Sporting CP B vs Penafiel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP B vs Penafiel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penafiel the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Sporting CP B.
- Where and when is Sporting CP B vs Penafiel played?
- Sporting CP B vs Penafiel is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.