Lusitânia Lourosa vs Amarante: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Lusitânia FC, Lourosa
The Footlab AI model makes Lusitânia Lourosa the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Amarante. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lusitânia Lourosa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Amarante?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Lusitânia Lourosa (2,005) and Amarante (2,011).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Amarante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lusitânia Lourosa
4-3-3- 12Arsénio
- 21Paulité
- 17João Santos
- 27Fabinho
- 20Diogo Paulo
- 60Daniel
- 24Ricardinho
- 19Saliou
- 22Bruno Faria
- 52F. Machado
- 29Brian Araújo
Amarante
3-4-3- 5Joao Ricardo
- 88Rúben Alves
- 10M. Costa
- 26A. Zangre
- 8Tokinho
- 78Simão Silva
- 6Rodrigo Guedes
- 2Gonçalo Cunha
- 3Feliciano Mendes
- 28Diogo Costa
- 65Didi
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lusitânia Lourosa have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Amarante have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Madalena(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sporting CP B(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | AVS(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Academica(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lusitânia Lourosa wins, 2 draws, 1 Amarante win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amarante 0-1 Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Amarante 1-1 Lusitânia Lourosa | Liga 3 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa 2-1 Amarante | Liga 3 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-0 Amarante | Liga 3 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Amarante 1-0 Lusitânia Lourosa | Liga 3 |
| May 20, 2023 | Amarante 0-0 Lusitânia Lourosa | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
Last archived meeting: Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lusitânia Lourosa score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Amarante score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Amarante | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lusitânia Lourosa sit 1st in Segunda Liga (17 points from 7 matches) and Amarante sit 16th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Lusitânia Lourosa vs Amarante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Amarante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lusitânia Lourosa the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Amarante.
- Where and when is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Amarante played?
- Lusitânia Lourosa vs Amarante is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.