Match

Sokół Kolb. vs Chełmianka Chełm: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, Kolbuszowa Dolna

Sokół Kolb.Chełmianka Chełm

The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sokół Kolb.. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sokół Kolb. vs Chełmianka Chełm?

Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,713).

Sokół Kolb. win21 %
Draw25 %
Chełmianka Chełm win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sokół Kolb. have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chełmianka Chełm have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sokół Kolb.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Jarosław(away)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Chełmianka Chełm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Naprzód(away)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)3-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Sokół Kolb.(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)1-0III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sokół Kolb. win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chełmianka Chełm win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Chełmianka Chełm 2-0 Sokół Kolb.III Liga - Group 4
Nov 29, 2025Sokół Kolb. 0-3 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2025Chełmianka Chełm 2-1 Sokół Kolb.III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Chełmianka Chełm vs Sokół Kolb. on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sokół Kolb. score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sokół Kolb.1.41.1410/158/15
Chełmianka Chełm2.10.987/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sokół Kolb. sit 13th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chełmianka Chełm550010115
13Sokół Kolb.5122675

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sokół Kolb. vs Chełmianka Chełm?
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sokół Kolb..
Where and when is Sokół Kolb. vs Chełmianka Chełm played?
Sokół Kolb. vs Chełmianka Chełm is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sokół Kolb. and Chełmianka Chełm

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