Sokół Kolb. vs Chełmianka Chełm: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, Kolbuszowa Dolna
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sokół Kolb.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sokół Kolb. vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sokół Kolb. have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chełmianka Chełm have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sokół Kolb. win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chełmianka Chełm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm 2-0 Sokół Kolb. | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Sokół Kolb. 0-3 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Chełmianka Chełm 2-1 Sokół Kolb. | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Chełmianka Chełm vs Sokół Kolb. on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sokół Kolb. score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sokół Kolb. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Chełmianka Chełm | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sokół Kolb. sit 13th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Sokół Kolb. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sokół Kolb. vs Chełmianka Chełm?
- The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sokół Kolb..
- Where and when is Sokół Kolb. vs Chełmianka Chełm played?
- Sokół Kolb. vs Chełmianka Chełm is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026KSZO 1929vsStar Starachowice
- Nov 28, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Nov 28, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Nov 28, 2026JarosławvsWisłoka Dębica
- Nov 28, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsKorona Kielce II
- Nov 28, 2026NaprzódvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Nov 28, 2026Moravia MorawicavsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Nov 28, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II