KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Chełmianka Chełm: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for KS Wieczysta Krakow II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, KS Wieczysta Krakow II have 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Chełmianka Chełm have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
KS Wieczysta Krakow II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
| Chełmianka Chełm | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KS Wieczysta Krakow II sit 7th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Chełmianka Chełm?
- The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for KS Wieczysta Krakow II.
- Where and when is KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Chełmianka Chełm played?
- KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Chełmianka Chełm is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027KSZO 1929vsMoravia Morawica
- Mar 20, 2027Hetman ZamoscvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Mar 20, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Mar 20, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Mar 20, 2027JarosławvsStar Starachowice
- Mar 20, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsNaprzód
- Mar 20, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Mar 20, 2027Busko-ZdrojvsKorona Kielce II