Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Dorking Wanderers played?

Chelmsford City vs Dorking Wanderers is played on February 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chelmsford City vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 35Kick-off on February 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex

Chelmsford City

Dorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Dorking Wanderers?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Chelmsford City (1,874) and Dorking Wanderers (1,880).

Chelmsford City win47 %

Draw25 %

Dorking Wanderers win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelmsford City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-1	National League - South
Apr 25, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	1-3	National League - South
Apr 18, 2026	Chesham United(away)	2-0	National League - South

Dorking Wanderers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Maidstone Utd(home)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Totton(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Maidenhead(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(home)	0-1	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Dulwich Hamlet(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chelmsford City win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 10, 2026	Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Oct 4, 2025	Chelmsford City 1-1 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Mar 8, 2025	Dorking Wanderers 2-2 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Nov 9, 2024	Chelmsford City 0-4 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Feb 19, 2022	Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Sep 4, 2021	Chelmsford City 2-2 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City on Mar 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chelmsford City	1.5	1.4	5	9/15	6/15
Dorking Wanderers	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Dorking Wanderers	4	1	1	2	5	4	4
17	Chelmsford City	3	0	3	0	2	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Dorking Wanderers?: The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Dorking Wanderers.
Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Dorking Wanderers played?: Chelmsford City vs Dorking Wanderers is played on February 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.