Torquay vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 35Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs Maidenhead?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Torquay (1,876) and Maidenhead (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torquay win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Maidenhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Torquay 1-1 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Maidenhead 1-2 Torquay | National League - South |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Maidenhead 1-3 Torquay | National League |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Torquay 2-3 Maidenhead | National League |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Torquay 1-1 Maidenhead | National League |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Maidenhead 3-4 Torquay | National League |
Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Maidenhead on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Maidenhead sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Torquay | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Maidenhead?
- The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Torquay vs Maidenhead played?
- Torquay vs Maidenhead is played on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 22, 2027Chelmsford CityvsDorking Wanderers
- Feb 23, 2027Maidstone UtdvsTonbridge Angels
- Feb 23, 2027DovervsDagenham & Redbridge
- Feb 23, 2027Billericay TownvsChesham United
- Feb 23, 2027Slough TownvsSalisbury
- Feb 23, 2027Truro CityvsFarnham Town
- Feb 23, 2027AFC TottonvsWeston-super-Mare
- Feb 23, 2027HorshamvsFolkestone Invicta