Maidstone Utd vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 35Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Tonbridge Angels?
Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maidstone Utd win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Tonbridge Angels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 1-2 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 1-1 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Tonbridge Angels 1-3 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 2-0 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone Utd on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidstone Utd sit 5th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Tonbridge Angels?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Tonbridge Angels.
- Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Tonbridge Angels played?
- Maidstone Utd vs Tonbridge Angels is played on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 22, 2027Chelmsford CityvsDorking Wanderers
- Feb 23, 2027TorquayvsMaidenhead
- Feb 23, 2027DovervsDagenham & Redbridge
- Feb 23, 2027Billericay TownvsChesham United
- Feb 23, 2027Slough TownvsSalisbury
- Feb 23, 2027Truro CityvsFarnham Town
- Feb 23, 2027AFC TottonvsWeston-super-Mare
- Feb 23, 2027HorshamvsFolkestone Invicta