Match

Maidenhead vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 36Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

MaidenheadChelmsford City

The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Chelmsford City?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,816) and Chelmsford City (1,842).

Maidenhead win41 %
Draw26 %
Chelmsford City win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Farnborough(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Truro City(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Brackley Town(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Truro City(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-1National League - South
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)1-3National League - South
Apr 18, 2026Chesham United(away)2-0National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Maidenhead win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chelmsford City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Chelmsford City 1-1 MaidenheadNational League - South
Sep 6, 2025Maidenhead 2-1 Chelmsford CityNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidenhead0.91.247/154/15
Chelmsford City1.51.459/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Maidenhead4121235
17Chelmsford City3030223

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Chelmsford City?
The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Chelmsford City.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Chelmsford City played?
Maidenhead vs Chelmsford City is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Maidenhead and Chelmsford City

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