Maidenhead vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 36Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire
The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Chelmsford City?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,816) and Chelmsford City (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Maidenhead win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chelmsford City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chelmsford City 1-1 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Maidenhead 2-1 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Chelmsford City?
- The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Chelmsford City.
- Where and when is Maidenhead vs Chelmsford City played?
- Maidenhead vs Chelmsford City is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsTruro City
- Feb 27, 2027BraintreevsDover
- Feb 27, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsFarnborough
- Feb 27, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsTorquay
- Feb 27, 2027Weston-super-MarevsHemel Hempstead Town
- Feb 27, 2027Chesham UnitedvsAFC Totton
- Feb 27, 2027Folkestone InvictavsSlough Town
- Feb 27, 2027SalisburyvsMaidstone Utd