Chelsea vs Barcelona: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on April 18, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
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What was the result of Chelsea vs Barcelona?
Chelsea won 1-0 on April 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 45′Didier Yves Drogba TébilyChelsea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Barcelona have 14, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2012 | Tottenham(away) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Apr 9, 2012 | Fulham(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2012 | Wigan(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2012 | Benfica(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Aston Villa(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2012 | Levante(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Apr 10, 2012 | Getafe(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Apr 7, 2012 | Zaragoza(away) | 4-1 | La Liga |
| Apr 3, 2012 | AC Milan(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Athletic Club(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Barcelona score 3.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Barcelona | 3.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelsea sit 6th in UEFA Champions League (16 points from 8 matches) and Barcelona sit 5th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy