Chelsea vs Newcastle: result 1-1 and analysis
League CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on December 19, 2023 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
Full time
What was the result of Chelsea vs Newcastle?
Chelsea and Newcastle drew 1-1 on December 19, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 16′C. WilsonNewcastle
- 90′M. MudrykChelsea
- 120′C. PalmerChelsea (pen.)
- 120′C. WilsonNewcastle (pen.)
- 120′C. GallagherChelsea (pen.)
- 120′C. NkunkuChelsea (pen.)
- 120′Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle (pen.)
- 120′M. MudrykChelsea (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Newcastle have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Everton(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Manchester United(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Brighton(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Newcastle(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | Fulham(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2023 | AC Milan(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Tottenham(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Everton(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Manchester United(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chelsea win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Newcastle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | Newcastle 4-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Jul 27, 2023 | Newcastle 1-1 Chelsea | Premier League - Summer Series |
| May 28, 2023 | Chelsea 1-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Newcastle 1-0 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Chelsea 1-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Newcastle 0-3 Chelsea | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy