Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London
The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Newcastle. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crystal Palace wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Crystal Palace (2,184) and Newcastle (2,240).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 22J. Strand Larsen
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 18D. Kamada
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 25A. Khalaili
- 23Q. Timber
- 26C. Richards
- 5A. Disasi
- 6J. Canvot
- 44W. Benítez
Newcastle
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Wissa
- 11H. Barnes
- 67L. Miley
- 23J. Murphy
- 28J. Willock
- 20M. Fernandez-Pardo
- 4S. Botman
- 3L. Hall
- 12M. Thiaw
- 37A. Dedić
- 21L. Horníček
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Newcastle have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crystal Palace wins, 1 draw, 3 Newcastle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Newcastle 2-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Newcastle 5-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Crystal Palace 2-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Newcastle 4-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Crystal Palace vs Newcastle on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crystal Palace sit 15th in Premier League (4 points from 5 matches) and Newcastle sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Newcastle.
- Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Newcastle played?
- Crystal Palace vs Newcastle is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.