Chelsea vs Pafos: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 21, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
Full time
What was the result of Chelsea vs Pafos?
Chelsea won 1-0 on January 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 78′M. CaicedoChelsea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Pafos have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Enosis(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pafos score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Pafos | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelsea sit 6th in UEFA Champions League (16 points from 8 matches) and Pafos sit 26th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy