Match

Chemal vs Gendrim: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 07:50 PM (UTC)Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, Nouakchott

ChemalGendrim

The Footlab AI model makes Chemal the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Gendrim. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chemal wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chemal vs Gendrim?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Chemal (1,642) and Gendrim (1,590).

38%29%33%
Chemal winDrawGendrim win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chemal vs Gendrim

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chemal

Not enough data to predict the Chemal lineup.

Gendrim

Not enough data to predict the Gendrim lineup.

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gendrim have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chemal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Police(home)0-0Premier League
May 25, 2026Pompiers(home)1-0Premier League
May 16, 2026Inter Nouakchott(away)5-3Premier League
May 12, 2026Nouakchott King's(home)3-4Premier League
May 3, 2026Police(away)1-0Premier League
Gendrim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026AC Douane(away)2-1Premier League
May 25, 2026Police(home)2-1Premier League
May 19, 2026AC Douane(away)1-0Premier League
May 9, 2026Ksar(home)1-4Premier League
May 3, 2026N'Zidane(away)1-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chemal wins, 1 draw, 3 Gendrim wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2026Gendrim 2-1 ChemalPremier League
Nov 19, 2025Chemal 3-4 GendrimPremier League
Apr 14, 2025Chemal 1-0 GendrimPremier League
Dec 9, 2024Gendrim 0-2 ChemalPremier League
Jun 2, 2024Gendrim 0-0 ChemalPremier League
Dec 31, 2023Chemal 0-1 GendrimPremier League

Last archived meeting: Gendrim vs Chemal on Mar 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chemal score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gendrim score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chemal1.31.366/156/15
Gendrim0.91.159/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Gendrim1100213

A question about Chemal vs Gendrim?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chemal vs Gendrim?
The Footlab AI model makes Chemal the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Gendrim.
Where and when is Chemal vs Gendrim played?
Chemal vs Gendrim is played on October 26, 2026 at 07:50 PM (UTC) at Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chemal and Gendrim

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