Match

Kédia vs Police: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Zouérate

KédiaPolice

The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Kédia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Police wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kédia vs Police?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Kédia (1,518) and Police (1,516).

29%30%41%
Kédia winDrawPolice win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kédia vs Police

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kédia

Not enough data to predict the Kédia lineup.

Police

Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kédia have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Police have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kédia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Pompiers(home)0-3Premier League
Jun 19, 2021Garde Nationale(away)0-0Premier League
Jun 12, 2021Trarza AC(away)0-1Premier League
Jun 6, 2021JAHE(home)3-4Premier League
May 29, 2021Inter Nouakchott(home)0-0Premier League
Police
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Chemal(away)0-0Premier League
May 25, 2026Gendrim(away)1-2Premier League
May 20, 2026Kaédi(home)0-1Premier League
May 10, 2026Nouadhibou(away)1-4Premier League
May 3, 2026Chemal(home)0-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kédia win, 0 draws, 1 Police win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 9, 2021Kédia 2-1 PolicePremier League
Jan 2, 2021Police 2-0 KédiaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Kédia vs Police on Apr 9, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Kédia score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kédia0.60.983/154/15
Police0.71.347/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Kédia1001030

A question about Kédia vs Police?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kédia vs Police?
The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Kédia.
Where and when is Kédia vs Police played?
Kédia vs Police is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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