Cheonan City vs Hwaseong: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 25Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Cheonan Baekseok Stadium, Cheonan
The Footlab model makes Hwaseong the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Cheonan City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cheonan City vs Hwaseong?
Hwaseong starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,505).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheonan City have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Hwaseong have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(home) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Seongnam FC(away) | 2-3 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yongin City(home) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Daegu FC(home) | 5-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cheonan City win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Hwaseong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Hwaseong 2-2 Cheonan City | K League 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Cheonan City 2-2 Hwaseong | K League 2 |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Cheonan City 2-3 Hwaseong | K League 2 |
| May 4, 2025 | Hwaseong 2-1 Cheonan City | K League 2 |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Hwaseong 2-0 Cheonan City | K3 League |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Cheonan City 0-1 Hwaseong | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Hwaseong vs Cheonan City on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cheonan City score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hwaseong score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheonan City | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hwaseong | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cheonan City sit 14th in K League 2 (21 points from 22 matches) and Hwaseong sit 6th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hwaseong | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 36 |
| 14 | Cheonan City | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 31 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cheonan City vs Hwaseong?
- The Footlab model makes Hwaseong the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Cheonan City.
- Where and when is Cheonan City vs Hwaseong played?
- Cheonan City vs Hwaseong is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Cheonan Baekseok Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.