Paju Citizen vs Daegu FC: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 25Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Paju Public Stadium, Paju
The Footlab model makes Daegu FC the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Paju Citizen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paju Citizen vs Daegu FC?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Paju Citizen (1,601) and Daegu FC (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paju Citizen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Daegu FC have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Suwon City FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busan I Park(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(home) | 2-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(away) | 1-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hwaseong(away) | 1-5 | K League 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Suwon City FC(home) | 1-2 | K League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Paju Citizen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Daegu FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Daegu FC 1-0 Paju Citizen | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Daegu FC vs Paju Citizen on Jun 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paju Citizen score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Daegu FC score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paju Citizen | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Daegu FC | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paju Citizen sit 11th in K League 2 (25 points from 22 matches) and Daegu FC sit 4th (39 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Daegu FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 31 | 39 |
| 11 | Paju Citizen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paju Citizen vs Daegu FC?
- The Footlab model makes Daegu FC the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Paju Citizen.
- Where and when is Paju Citizen vs Daegu FC played?
- Paju Citizen vs Daegu FC is played on September 4, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Paju Public Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.