Chernihiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Yunist, Chernihiv
The Footlab model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Kolos Kovalivka II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chernihiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Chernihiv (1,599) and Kolos Kovalivka II (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernihiv have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Kolos Kovalivka II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Prykarpattia(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chernihiv win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kolos Kovalivka II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Chernihiv 2-0 Kolos Kovalivka II | Druha Liga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Kolos Kovalivka II 1-0 Chernihiv | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chernihiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II on May 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chernihiv score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kolos Kovalivka II score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernihiv | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chernihiv sit 10th in Persha Liga (4 points from 4 matches) and Kolos Kovalivka II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chernihiv | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chernihiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II?
- The Footlab model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Kolos Kovalivka II.
- Where and when is Chernihiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II played?
- Chernihiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Yunist, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.