UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv
The Footlab AI model makes UCSA the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Probiy Horodenka. The most likely score is 1-1. If UCSA wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate UCSA (1,663) and Probiy Horodenka (1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UCSA
4-3-3- 9O. Khoblenko
- 22Yegor Rogach
- 71Ruan Santos
- 6R. Yuvkhimets
- 49Vitinho
- 73P. Castro
- 15O. Osman
- 35Hiago
- 45D. Sabiyev
- 42D. Makhnev
- 12A. Kovalev
Probiy Horodenka
4-3-3- 19V. Napuda
- 21M. Girnyi
- 30O. Lepskyi
- 98A. Fesenko
- 7A. Savitskyi
- 18A. Bliznichenko
- 16I. Guk
- 5V. Savchyn
- 95M. Lopyrenok
- 2V. Radulskyi
- 31Kyrylo Arkhypchuk
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCSA have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Probiy Horodenka have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SK Poltava(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 2-4 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 UCSA wins, 1 draw, 1 Probiy Horodenka win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka 1-0 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | UCSA 0-0 Probiy Horodenka | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Probiy Horodenka vs UCSA on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UCSA score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Probiy Horodenka score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCSA | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Probiy Horodenka | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCSA sit 13th in Persha Liga (11 points from 12 matches) and Probiy Horodenka sit 15th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | UCSA | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 9 |
A question about UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka?
- The Footlab AI model makes UCSA the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Probiy Horodenka.
- Where and when is UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka played?
- UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.