Oleksandria vs SK Poltava: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)CSC Nika, Aleksandriya
The Footlab AI model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for SK Poltava. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oleksandria vs SK Poltava?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Oleksandria (1,798) and SK Poltava (1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oleksandria vs SK Poltava
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oleksandria
4-3-3- 9M. Tretyakov
- 44Jhonnatan Silva
- 25O. Kozak
- 21R. Tolochko
- 14R. Kuzmin
- 30Y. Kopyna
- 5O. Dykhtyaruk
- 2T. Dmytruk
- 3V. Adamyuk
- 4N. Gavrylyuk
- 33A. Klishchuk
SK Poltava
4-3-3- 8V. Odaryuk
- 17B. Kobzar
- 88O. Vivdych
- 11D. Kasimov
- 10V. Sad
- 22D. Prikhna
- 2M. Kononov
- 95I. Kotsyumaka
- 5V. Pidlepych
- 19M. Buzhyn
- 96D. Ermolov
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oleksandria have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; SK Poltava have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Polissya II(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Polissya II(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Prykarpattia(home) | 4-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Oleksandria win, 1 draw, 0 SK Poltava wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | SK Poltava 3-3 Oleksandria | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Oleksandria 1-0 SK Poltava | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: SK Poltava vs Oleksandria on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oleksandria score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; SK Poltava score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandria | 1.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| SK Poltava | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oleksandria sit 6th in Persha Liga (24 points from 14 matches) and SK Poltava sit 4th (24 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SK Poltava | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Oleksandria | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 24 |
A question about Oleksandria vs SK Poltava?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oleksandria vs SK Poltava?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for SK Poltava.
- Where and when is Oleksandria vs SK Poltava played?
- Oleksandria vs SK Poltava is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at CSC Nika, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.