Oleksandria vs SK Poltava: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)CSC Nika, Aleksandriya
The Footlab model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for SK Poltava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oleksandria vs SK Poltava?
Oleksandria starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,616).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oleksandria have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; SK Poltava have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inhulets(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 4-4 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mayak Sarny(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | UCSA(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Oleksandria win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SK Poltava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | SK Poltava 3-3 Oleksandria | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Oleksandria 1-0 SK Poltava | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: SK Poltava vs Oleksandria on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oleksandria score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SK Poltava score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandria | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| SK Poltava | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oleksandria sit 3rd in Persha Liga (8 points from 4 matches) and SK Poltava sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SK Poltava | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Oleksandria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oleksandria vs SK Poltava?
- The Footlab model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for SK Poltava.
- Where and when is Oleksandria vs SK Poltava played?
- Oleksandria vs SK Poltava is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at CSC Nika, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.