Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Avanhard, Uzhhorod
The Footlab model makes Metal Kharkiv the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Lokomotiv Kyiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Metal Kharkiv (1,634) and Lokomotiv Kyiv (1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metal Kharkiv have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Lokomotiv Kyiv have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penuel(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Polissya II(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Metal Kharkiv score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Kyiv score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metal Kharkiv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metal Kharkiv sit 7th in Persha Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Lokomotiv Kyiv sit 12th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Metal Kharkiv | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
- The Footlab model makes Metal Kharkiv the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Lokomotiv Kyiv.
- Where and when is Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv played?
- Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Avanhard, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.