Chertsey Town vs Bracknell Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Bracknell Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Bracknell Town?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,838) and Bracknell Town (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bracknell Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 0-7 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chertsey Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bracknell Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Bracknell Town 2-4 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Chertsey Town 1-1 Bracknell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Chertsey Town 3-1 Bracknell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Bracknell Town 1-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Bracknell Town 0-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Oct 26, 2021 | Chertsey Town 0-3 Bracknell Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
Last archived meeting: Bracknell Town vs Chertsey Town on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bracknell Town score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bracknell Town | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Bracknell Town sit 19th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 19 | Bracknell Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Bracknell Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Bracknell Town.
- Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Bracknell Town played?
- Chertsey Town vs Bracknell Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Havant & WvillevsChippenham Town
- Dec 5, 2026Frome TownvsYate Town
- Dec 5, 2026UxbridgevsPlymouth Parkway
- Dec 5, 2026Evesham UnitedvsPoole Town
- Dec 5, 2026SholingvsBasingstoke Town
- Dec 5, 2026Gosport BoroughvsBerkhamsted
- Dec 5, 2026Wimborne TownvsTaunton Town
- Dec 5, 2026Gloucester CityvsChichester City