Chertsey Town vs Havant & Wville: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Havant & Wville. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Havant & Wville?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,875) and Havant & Wville (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Havant & Wville have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chertsey Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Havant & Wville win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Havant & Wville 1-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Chertsey Town 2-0 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Chertsey Town 0-4 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Havant & Wville 3-0 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Havant & Wville vs Chertsey Town on Nov 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Havant & Wville score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Havant & Wville | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Havant & Wville sit 21st (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Havant & Wville?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Havant & Wville.
- Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Havant & Wville played?
- Chertsey Town vs Havant & Wville is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026UxbridgevsFrome Town
- Dec 12, 2026Basingstoke TownvsYate Town
- Dec 12, 2026Bracknell TownvsBath City
- Dec 12, 2026Chichester CityvsTaunton Town
- Dec 12, 2026Evesham UnitedvsWimborne Town
- Dec 12, 2026SholingvsHanworth Villa
- Dec 12, 2026Chippenham TownvsHanwell Town
- Dec 12, 2026Gloucester CityvsGosport Borough