Match

Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey

Chertsey TownGloucester City

The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Gloucester City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,875) and Gloucester City (1,897).

Chertsey Town win46 %
Draw24 %
Gloucester City win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chertsey Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sholing(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Yate Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Berkhamsted(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Westfield (Surrey)(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Gloucester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanwell Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bracknell Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chertsey Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Chertsey Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gloucester City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City 0-1 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Feb 14, 2026Chertsey Town 2-2 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 22, 2025Gloucester City 2-0 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Apr 12, 2025Chertsey Town 1-0 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Dec 14, 2024Gloucester City 3-1 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chertsey Town1.91.349/159/15
Gloucester City1.61.267/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chertsey Town431010410
15Gloucester City4112454

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City?
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Gloucester City.
Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City played?
Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chertsey Town and Gloucester City

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