Evesham United vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Basingstoke Town?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,746) and Basingstoke Town (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Evesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town 2-4 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 1-0 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Evesham United 1-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Evesham United 3-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Evesham United on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Evesham United vs Basingstoke Town is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Havant & WvillevsBerkhamsted
- Mar 6, 2027Taunton TownvsHanworth Villa
- Mar 6, 2027Bracknell TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Mar 6, 2027Chertsey TownvsGloucester City
- Mar 6, 2027Hanwell TownvsMalvern Town
- Mar 6, 2027Gosport BoroughvsYate Town
- Mar 6, 2027Poole TownvsChichester City
- Mar 6, 2027Wimborne TownvsFrome Town