Gosport Borough vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Privett Park, Gosport, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Gosport Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gosport Borough vs Yate Town?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Gosport Borough (1,764) and Yate Town (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gosport Borough have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gosport Borough win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Yate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town 1-0 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gosport Borough 0-2 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Yate Town 1-1 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Gosport Borough 0-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Yate Town 5-4 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Yate Town 1-2 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Gosport Borough on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gosport Borough sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gosport Borough vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Gosport Borough.
- Where and when is Gosport Borough vs Yate Town played?
- Gosport Borough vs Yate Town is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Privett Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Havant & WvillevsBerkhamsted
- Mar 6, 2027Taunton TownvsHanworth Villa
- Mar 6, 2027Bracknell TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Mar 6, 2027Chertsey TownvsGloucester City
- Mar 6, 2027Evesham UnitedvsBasingstoke Town
- Mar 6, 2027Hanwell TownvsMalvern Town
- Mar 6, 2027Poole TownvsChichester City
- Mar 6, 2027Wimborne TownvsFrome Town