Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 43Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United?
Dorking Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,667).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dorking Wanderers
Not enough data to predict the Dorking Wanderers lineup.
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 10:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Chesham United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 3-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 3-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dover(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Dorking Wanderers wins, 1 draw, 1 Chesham United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Chesham United 2-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Chesham United 0-5 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorking Wanderers score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorking Wanderers | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorking Wanderers sit 6th in National League - South (27 points from 15 matches) and Chesham United sit 21st (11 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 23 | 27 |
| 21 | Chesham United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 11 |
A question about Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United played?
- Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham United is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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