Hemel Hempstead Town vs Horsham: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 43Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Horsham the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Horsham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,542 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Horsham?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Hemel Hempstead Town (1,751) and Horsham (1,808).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Horsham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hemel Hempstead Town
4-3-3- 16I. Noel-Williams
- 10Joseph White
- 23Trae Cook
- 7G. Williams
- 12Kyran Wiltshire
- 20Mauro Vilhete
- 3D. Dowrich
- 2Samuel Adenola
- 22Devante Stanley
- 15Mathew Achuba
- 1M. Johnson
Horsham
Not enough data to predict the Horsham lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Horsham have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Hemel Hempstead Town wins, 1 draw, 2 Horsham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Horsham 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 Horsham | FA Trophy |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Horsham | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Horsham | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hemel Hempstead Town sit 20th in National League - South (15 points from 15 matches) and Horsham sit 10th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Horsham | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 22 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 15 |
A question about Hemel Hempstead Town vs Horsham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Horsham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Horsham the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
- Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Horsham played?
- Hemel Hempstead Town vs Horsham is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Maidstone UtdvsDover
- Apr 3, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsBraintree
- Apr 3, 2027Slough TownvsWeston-super-Mare
- Apr 3, 2027Chelmsford CityvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Apr 3, 2027Truro CityvsAFC Totton
- Apr 3, 2027FarnboroughvsTorquay
- Apr 3, 2027Folkestone InvictavsBillericay Town
- Apr 3, 2027SalisburyvsMaidenhead