Chester vs Merthyr Town: result 0-1 and analysis
National League - NorthNational League North - 8Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Chester vs Merthyr Town?
Merthyr Town won 0-1 on September 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 44′L. LucasMerthyr Town
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Chester win at 60%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Merthyr Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 22, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chester win, 1 draw, 0 Merthyr Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Merthyr Town 1-2 Chester | National League - North |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Chester 2-2 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Merthyr Town vs Chester on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 5th in National League - North (20 points from 11 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 15th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 20 |
| 15 | Merthyr Town | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
A question about Chester vs Merthyr Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 8, 2026Macclesfield0-0Scarborough Athletic
- Sep 8, 2026Southport2-1Morecambe
- Sep 8, 2026Chorley5-2Darlington 1883
- Sep 8, 2026AFC Telford United1-0Oxford City
- Sep 8, 2026Spennymoor Town1-3Spalding United
- Sep 8, 2026Worksop Town1-2Bedford Town
- Sep 8, 2026Buxton5-0Brackley Town
- Sep 8, 2026Radcliffe5-1Hebburn Town