Where and when is Southport vs Morecambe played?

Southport vs Morecambe is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Southport vs Morecambe: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 8Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside

Southport

Morecambe

The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Southport vs Morecambe?

Southport starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,661).

Southport win58 %

Draw22 %

Morecambe win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southport have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Morecambe have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Southport
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bedford Town(home)	4-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Hednesford Town(away)	2-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Buxton(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hebburn Town(away)	1-3	National League - North
Jul 31, 2026	Wigan(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Morecambe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Radcliffe(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	South Shields(home)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Harborough Town(away)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Spennymoor Town(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Barrow(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Southport win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Morecambe win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 18, 2023	Southport 1-3 Morecambe	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Southport vs Morecambe on Jul 18, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Southport	1.5	1.5	3	10/15	10/15
Morecambe	1.1	2.1	1	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Southport sit 11th in National League - North (5 points from 4 matches) and Morecambe sit 24th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Southport	4	1	2	1	8	7	5
24	Morecambe	4	0	1	3	2	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Southport vs Morecambe?: The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Morecambe.
Where and when is Southport vs Morecambe played?: Southport vs Morecambe is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.