Chester vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs Spennymoor Town?
On Elo ratings, Chester has 1,841 points and Spennymoor Town 1,752.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chester vs Spennymoor Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chester
Not enough data to predict the Chester lineup.
Spennymoor Town
4-3-3- 16Ben Pollock
- 11J. Mondal
- 36Cameron Salkeld
- 29M. Dolan
- 7M. Heaney
- 28Corey McKeown
- 3D. Jones
- 2O. Dyson
- 4M. Hancox
- 6Ben Beals
- 13Ryan Johnson
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marine(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chester wins, 1 draw, 2 Spennymoor Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 4-1 Chester | FA Cup |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Chester 2-1 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 1-2 Chester | National League - North |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Chester 1-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 3-0 Chester | National League - North |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Chester 1-1 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Chester on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Spennymoor Town | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 9th in National League - North (23 points from 14 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 24th (10 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 23 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 10 |
A question about Chester vs Spennymoor Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs Spennymoor Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is Chester vs Spennymoor Town played?
- Chester vs Spennymoor Town is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.