Macclesfield vs Oxford City: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Leasing.com Stadium, Macclesfield, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Oxford City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macclesfield vs Oxford City?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Macclesfield (1,937) and Oxford City (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macclesfield have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Oxford City have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Macclesfield win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Oxford City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Macclesfield 3-0 Oxford City | National League - North |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Oxford City 2-1 Macclesfield | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Macclesfield vs Oxford City on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oxford City score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macclesfield | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Oxford City | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macclesfield sit 4th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Oxford City sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oxford City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macclesfield vs Oxford City?
- The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Oxford City.
- Where and when is Macclesfield vs Oxford City played?
- Macclesfield vs Oxford City is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Leasing.com Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.