Match

Chester vs Buxton: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire

ChesterBuxton

The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chester vs Buxton?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Chester (1,914) and Buxton (1,889).

49%27%24%
Chester winDrawBuxton win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chester vs Buxton

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chester

4-3-3
  1. 9J. Hazel
  2. 11B. Waters
  3. 17C. Woods
  1. 12D. Ward
  2. 24C. Murphy
  3. 4D. Weeks
  1. 3Nathan Woodthorpe
  2. 5J. Griffin
  3. 33Samuel Reed
  4. 15Isaac Burgess
  1. 1Luke Hewitson

Buxton

Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Buxton have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Bedford Town(home)1-0National League - North
Oct 3, 2026Spennymoor Town(away)1-4FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Worksop Town(home)4-1National League - North
Sep 19, 2026Lower Breck(away)2-1FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026Buxton(away)1-3National League - North
Buxton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026King's Lynn Town(away)0-1National League - North
Oct 3, 2026South Shields(home)0-2FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026South Shields(away)0-4National League - North
Sep 19, 2026Ashton United(home)1-0FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026Chester(home)3-1National League - North

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chester wins, 0 draws, 2 Buxton wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Buxton 3-1 ChesterNational League - North
Feb 14, 2026Chester 1-0 BuxtonNational League - North
Nov 8, 2025Buxton 1-2 ChesterNational League - North
Apr 30, 2025Chester 2-1 BuxtonNational League - North - Play-offs
Jan 11, 2025Buxton 2-4 ChesterNational League - North
Oct 22, 2024Chester 0-1 BuxtonNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Chester on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chester1.30.967/156/15
Buxton1.51.538/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chester sit 4th in National League - North (20 points from 11 matches) and Buxton sit 10th (16 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Chester1162314920
10Buxton11515181916

A question about Chester vs Buxton?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chester vs Buxton?
The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Buxton.
Where and when is Chester vs Buxton played?
Chester vs Buxton is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chester and Buxton

Ready to know everything about football?