Chiangmai United vs Phrae United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Phrae United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chiangmai United vs Phrae United?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Chiangmai United (1,430) and Phrae United (1,445).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Phrae United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chiangmai United win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Phrae United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Chiangmai United 1-0 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Phrae United 3-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Chiangmai United 1-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Phrae United 1-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Chiangmai United 4-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Phrae United 1-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chiangmai United vs Phrae United on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chiangmai United sit 10th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Phrae United sit 11th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Phrae United?
- The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Phrae United.
- Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Phrae United played?
- Chiangmai United vs Phrae United is played on April 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Apr 17, 2027UttaraditvsKhon Kaen United
- Apr 17, 2027Kasetsart FCvsSongkhla
- Apr 17, 2027Nakhon PathomvsEsan Pattaya
- Apr 18, 2027Police TerovsChainat
- Apr 18, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsKanchanaburi
- Apr 18, 2027ChanthaburivsMuangthong United
- Apr 18, 2027SatunvsNakhon Ratchasima FC