Match

Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom

Nakhon PathomEsan Pattaya

The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).

Nakhon Pathom win43 %
Draw29 %
Esan Pattaya win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Phrae United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Bangkok(home)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Mahasarakham United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-1Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)0-1Thai League 2
Esan Pattaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chainat(away)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Sisaket United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Phrae United(away)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)3-0Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Esan Pattaya win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 18, 2026Esan Pattaya 1-1 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Oct 17, 2025Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Esan PattayaThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom on Feb 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nakhon Pathom1.11.164/154/15
Esan Pattaya1.51.157/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nakhon Pathom sit 15th in Thai League 2 (39 points from 34 matches) and Esan Pattaya sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Esan Pattaya34101212454242
15Nakhon Pathom3410915293739

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya?
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Esan Pattaya.
Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya played?
Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nakhon Pathom and Esan Pattaya

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