Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab AI model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nakhon Pathom wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,379) and Esan Pattaya (1,348).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nakhon Pathom
4-3-3- 11Valdo
- 22P. Viriyachanchai
- 21N. Prachobklang
- 66S. Chaolaokhwan
- 6J. Phupha
- 55C. Otton
- 47A. Sangtong
- 44Amirhossein Nemati
- 5V. Filipović
- 33A. Sangram
- 76K. Pitaksalee
Esan Pattaya
4-3-3- 9K. Idris
- 17Suphakij Niamkong
- 10Fellipe Veloso
- 29Narakorn Khana
- 7Patrick Silva Mota
- 20M. Marhasaranukun
- 4Pharanyu Uppala
- 36T. Benyapad
- 35W. Kayem
- 5Abdolreza Zarei
- 30C. Sae-Ear
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 09:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Narathiwat(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Songkhla(home) | 3-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Muang Loei United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Nakhon Pathom wins, 2 draws, 0 Esan Pattaya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Esan Pattaya 1-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom on Feb 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Esan Pattaya | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nakhon Pathom sit 10th in Thai League 2 (10 points from 7 matches) and Esan Pattaya sit 14th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nakhon Pathom | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Esan Pattaya | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Esan Pattaya.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 17, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Apr 17, 2027UttaraditvsKhon Kaen United
- Apr 17, 2027Kasetsart FCvsSongkhla
- Apr 18, 2027Police TerovsChainat
- Apr 18, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsKanchanaburi
- Apr 18, 2027ChanthaburivsMuangthong United
- Apr 18, 2027SatunvsNakhon Ratchasima FC