Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Esan Pattaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Esan Pattaya 1-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom on Feb 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nakhon Pathom sit 15th in Thai League 2 (39 points from 34 matches) and Esan Pattaya sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Esan Pattaya.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Esan Pattaya is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 16, 2027Chiangmai UnitedvsPhrae United
- Apr 17, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Apr 17, 2027UttaraditvsKhon Kaen United
- Apr 17, 2027Kasetsart FCvsSongkhla
- Apr 18, 2027Police TerovsChainat
- Apr 18, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsKanchanaburi
- Apr 18, 2027ChanthaburivsMuangthong United
- Apr 18, 2027SatunvsNakhon Ratchasima FC