Satun vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Satun Municipal Stadium, Satun
The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Satun vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
Nakhon Ratchasima FC starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Satun have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Muang Trang United(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Satun vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
- The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
- Where and when is Satun vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
- Satun vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Apr 17, 2027Kasetsart FCvsSongkhla
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- Apr 18, 2027Police TerovsChainat
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