Police Tero vs Chainat: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Chainat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police Tero vs Chainat?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Chainat (1,425).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Police Tero win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chainat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat 2-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Police Tero 1-0 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Police Tero 2-1 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Chainat 2-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Jul 1, 2018 | Police Tero 1-1 Chainat | Thai League 1 |
| Jun 27, 2018 | Police Tero 4-1 Chainat | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Police Tero on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police Tero sit 5th in Thai League 2 (53 points from 34 matches) and Chainat sit 6th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Chainat?
- The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Chainat.
- Where and when is Police Tero vs Chainat played?
- Police Tero vs Chainat is played on April 18, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 16, 2027Chiangmai UnitedvsPhrae United
- Apr 17, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsMuang Loei United
- Apr 17, 2027UttaraditvsKhon Kaen United
- Apr 17, 2027Kasetsart FCvsSongkhla
- Apr 17, 2027Nakhon PathomvsEsan Pattaya
- Apr 18, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsKanchanaburi
- Apr 18, 2027ChanthaburivsMuangthong United
- Apr 18, 2027SatunvsNakhon Ratchasima FC