Phrae United vs Police Tero: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 32Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Huaimah Stadium, Huai Ma
The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phrae United vs Police Tero?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Phrae United (1,445) and Police Tero (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phrae United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Phrae United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Police Tero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero 3-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Phrae United 2-2 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Police Tero 2-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Phrae United 4-2 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Police Tero vs Phrae United on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phrae United sit 11th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Police Tero sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phrae United vs Police Tero?
- The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Police Tero.
- Where and when is Phrae United vs Police Tero played?
- Phrae United vs Police Tero is played on April 4, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Huaimah Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 2, 2027Khon Kaen UnitedvsNakhon Pathom
- Apr 3, 2027Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsChanthaburi
- Apr 3, 2027KanchanaburivsUttaradit
- Apr 3, 2027ChainatvsSatun
- Apr 3, 2027SongkhlavsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Apr 4, 2027Muang Loei UnitedvsChiangmai United
- Apr 4, 2027Esan PattayavsMahasarakham United
- Apr 4, 2027Muangthong UnitedvsKasetsart FC