Match

Phrae United vs Police Tero: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 32Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Huaimah Stadium, Huai Ma

Phrae UnitedPolice Tero

The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phrae United vs Police Tero?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Phrae United (1,445) and Police Tero (1,474).

Phrae United win42 %
Draw27 %
Police Tero win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phrae United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phrae United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Police Tero(away)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)2-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Songkhla(away)0-0Thai League 2
Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-3Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Chanthaburi(away)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Phrae United(home)3-1Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Chainat(away)1-2Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Phrae United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Police Tero win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Police Tero 3-1 Phrae UnitedThai League 2
Dec 14, 2025Phrae United 2-2 Police TeroThai League 2
Feb 22, 2025Police Tero 2-1 Phrae UnitedThai League 2
Oct 27, 2024Phrae United 4-2 Police TeroThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Police Tero vs Phrae United on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Phrae United0.91.847/158/15
Police Tero1.21.9112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Phrae United sit 11th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Police Tero sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Police Tero3415811504453
11Phrae United34101311405043

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phrae United vs Police Tero?
The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Police Tero.
Where and when is Phrae United vs Police Tero played?
Phrae United vs Police Tero is played on April 4, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Huaimah Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Phrae United and Police Tero

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