Basingstoke Town vs Chichester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Chichester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Chichester City?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Basingstoke Town (1,711) and Chichester City (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Chichester City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bognor Regis Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Basingstoke Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chichester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2021 | Chichester City 0-2 Basingstoke Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2020 | Basingstoke Town 2-2 Chichester City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chichester City vs Basingstoke Town on Jul 31, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chichester City score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Chichester City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Chichester City sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chichester City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Chichester City?
- The Footlab model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Chichester City.
- Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Chichester City played?
- Basingstoke Town vs Chichester City is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Havant & WvillevsGosport Borough
- Jan 16, 2027Frome TownvsBerkhamsted
- Jan 16, 2027Bracknell TownvsChippenham Town
- Jan 16, 2027Chertsey TownvsTaunton Town
- Jan 16, 2027Evesham UnitedvsSholing
- Jan 16, 2027Hanwell TownvsYate Town
- Jan 16, 2027Poole TownvsHanworth Villa
- Jan 16, 2027Gloucester CityvsUxbridge