Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Oaklands Park, Chichester, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Chichester City the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Chichester City (1,790) and Plymouth Parkway (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chichester City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bognor Regis Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Chichester City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Plymouth Parkway win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Plymouth Parkway 0-4 Chichester City | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Plymouth Parkway vs Chichester City on Oct 26, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Chichester City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chichester City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chichester City sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
- The Footlab model makes Chichester City the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Plymouth Parkway.
- Where and when is Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway played?
- Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Oaklands Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Taunton TownvsHanwell Town
- Oct 10, 2026Frome TownvsSholing
- Oct 10, 2026UxbridgevsEvesham United
- Oct 10, 2026Basingstoke TownvsMalvern Town
- Oct 10, 2026Chertsey TownvsChippenham Town
- Oct 10, 2026Poole TownvsBracknell Town
- Oct 10, 2026Wimborne TownvsHavant & Wville
- Oct 10, 2026Yate TownvsBerkhamsted