Poole Town vs Bracknell Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Bracknell Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Bracknell Town?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,819) and Bracknell Town (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bracknell Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 0-7 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Poole Town win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Bracknell Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Poole Town 0-0 Bracknell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Bracknell Town 3-4 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Poole Town 0-0 Bracknell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Bracknell Town 0-0 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Bracknell Town 1-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Poole Town 2-2 Bracknell Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Bracknell Town on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bracknell Town score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Bracknell Town | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Bracknell Town sit 19th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 19 | Bracknell Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Bracknell Town?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Bracknell Town.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Bracknell Town played?
- Poole Town vs Bracknell Town is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Taunton TownvsHanwell Town
- Oct 10, 2026Frome TownvsSholing
- Oct 10, 2026UxbridgevsEvesham United
- Oct 10, 2026Basingstoke TownvsMalvern Town
- Oct 10, 2026Chertsey TownvsChippenham Town
- Oct 10, 2026Chichester CityvsPlymouth Parkway
- Oct 10, 2026Wimborne TownvsHavant & Wville
- Oct 10, 2026Yate TownvsBerkhamsted